NFL Week 3 Free Picks
After a strong week 2 with 11 right we are moving right along into week 3 with another round of good action here. All the spreads are courtesy of Bodog sports book where you can always bet with confidence! Well here we go the The Pump Fake Week 3 Free Picks our picks are always in Bold!
Sunday Sept 27th
Houston -4 vs. Jacksonville
Houston looked good last week and will continue that good play this week.
Tampa Bay Bucs +7 vs. New York Giants
Giants are in a little bit of a injury plagues week which results in close game this week. Leftwich has looked good and will continue to play well against a weakened Giant Defense that is without Phillips and Tuck.
Tennessee Titans +3 vs. New York Jets
Tennessee pulls this one out to keep from going 0-3 and Sanchez finally makes some rookie mistakes.
Kansas City +7 vs. Philly
Philly is still in QB limbo and will try multiple variations with Vick. That did not work in the preseason and will not work here. Look for Kansas City to bounce back with a healthy Cassel and his new favorite target Bobby Wade. They keep it close.
Baltimore -13.5 vs. Cleveland Browns
Baltimore has a offense, let me repeat that they have a offense, we all knew they had a defense now the offense is there to help the strong defense rest. Cleveland has looked bad Quinn is not the answer and they struggle against the Ravens. I hat big NFL spreads and they never usually cover but you have to bet against the Browns they have shown nothing.
Detroit +6.5 vs. Washington Redskins
Detroit has always kept this game close even when they were really bad! Once again this is a close game but the Redskins pull it out.
San Fransisco +7 vs. Minnesota
I am not sold on San Fran and their new defense but we will see a strong running back battle in this one. I expect the 49ers to keep it close since Peterson is slightly injured so he does not break out 80 yarders and they have ot rely on Favre a little more.
New England Patriots -4 vs. Atlanta Falcons
Brady pulls it together at home! The Falcons are a good pick here but this is the New England Pats at home and expect that Pats Offense ot come together here and put up a show.
St. Louis Rams +7 vs. Green Bay Packers
St Louis looks to break out at home and well keep this game close. Steven Jackson has been wanting to break out this year and look for him to wear down the Green Bay defense. Green Bay Offensive line has had problems and will once again be subject to a healthy dose of pass rush from the Rams. Look for the Rams to keep it close and lose by 3 at home.
Chicago Bears -2.5 vs. Seattle Seahawks
The Bears are starting to gel together in their offense and will really lay it on the Seahawks with all their injuries. The Seahawks offense is nothing without Matt Hasselback and will struggle against a strong bears pass rush. Look for the Bears to Quiet the crowd early in the game and win big in Seattle.
New Orleans -6 vs. Buffalo
New Orleans is too much offense for the Bills to handle the Bills will put up some offense themselves and this should be a high scoring game but the Brees show will continue and they will cover the -6.
Cincinnati Bengals +4.5 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati has played two really good defensive games and their pass rush is the main cause. They will get to Big Ben and force some turnovers and could pull the upset that many have predicted. Pittsburgh can’t run the ball still and will look to use different looks to try and get a ground game going but the Bengals will hold them strong and will win.
Miami +6 vs. San Diego Chargers
Another week and the Chargers will be without L.T. they will use Sporles in lots of situations but the Miami defense is still strong. The running game for Miami is still strong and I look for them to control the game from the ground again and will win this in a close one.
Oakland +2 vs. Denver
Oakland is starting to show something and I am not sold on Kyle Orton as the Qb in Denver. The short passes will not work as well vs. the hard hitting Denver D. Look for Russel to have a better game completing passes this week and they win at home.
Indianapolis +2.5 vs. Arizona
Don’t mess with Peyton Manning in a shootout. That’s all you really need to say he can pass and no matter how good the passing game is for Arizona Peyton will put up better numbers and look for them to win on the road.
Monday Sept. 28
Carolina +9 vs. Dallas
NFL Free Picks Week 2
Week two is here and The Pump Fake is once again ready to pick all the winners. Last week was a good week with a respectable nine and we are looking to improve on that with a solid week! Well without much further chatter here are the picks:
Sunday Games
Atlanta -6 vs. Carolina
St. Louis +10 vs. Washington
Detroit Lions +10.5 vs. Minnesota
Oakland +3.5 vs. Kansas City
Cincinatti +9 vs. Green Bay
Houston +7 vs. Titans
New England -4 vs. Jets
New Orleans +2.5 vs. Philly
Jacksonville -3 vs. Arizona
Seattle +1.5 vs. San Fran
Tampa Bay +5 vs. Buffalo Bills
Chicago Bears +3 vs. Pittsburgh
Baltimore +0 vs. San Diego
Denver -3 vs. Cleveland
New York Giants +3 vs. Dallas
Monday Night Game
Miami +3.5 vs. Indy
Look for us on twitter for more updates and if their are any changes in the plays. @pfake
Next week we will be debuting the NFL Betting preview show where we will be breaking down all the games and explaining our picks! So check out The Pump Fake Podcast on Itunes.
NFL Week 1 Free Picks
Well the Cheerleaders are all in place And we are ready for the first week of the NFL Season! As we will be doing all season we will be picking all the games so everyone out there can make their picks and take the money to the bank! Well here they are!
Thursday night game:
Pittsburgh Steelers -6
Sunday Games:
Indianapolis Colts -7
Atlanta -4
Minnesota -4 (power play)
New Orleans -13.5
Philadelphia Eagles -2
Houston Texans -5
Dallas Cowboys -6
Kansas City Chiefs +13
Cincinnati -4 (power play)
Seattle Seahawks -8.5
New York Giants -6.5
San Francisco 49ers +6.5
Chicago Bears +3.5 (power play)
Monday Night Games:
Buffalo +11
San Diego Chargers -9
Well their it is folks enjoy and if anyone wants us to look at a parlay they are thinking about let us know and we can break it down for you! Just hit us up on twitter @pfake or via the contact page and always by our voice mail at 1-877-294-FAKE!
Merriman Arrested For Choking a Slore
Shawn Merriman Arrested and accused of choking his girlfriend Tila Tequila. She filed a complaint against him and he was taken to the station. The police have since realized that he was trying to protect her and are not charging him!
The story basically comes down to this crazy Slore was drunk and wanted to drive home from Shawn’s house. He would not let her because she was hammered beyond belief. Anyone who has dealt with a Slore before you know when they get all drunk they are hard to control and you have to beat them down a little! With all seriousness he just wanted to keep her at his house till she got a taxi or she sobered up, he was doing a good thing and she just bitched out!
I will say that this is the sort of thing Roger Goddell hates, its just another NFL superstar putting himself in a bad situation! Tila Tequila, seriously Shawn you could get so many better looking Slores! (Slut/Whores)
This is a women who changed her last name to be a drink, she is bad news and too much of a attention hound for a NFL player. The only reason she is famous is because she had a lot of friends on Friendster and she knows “Tom.”
But, I digress and say that I am glad he is being released and hope he stays away from this Slore!
How does this play going into the game upcoming this Sunday at the Raiders? I think the story will die down by them and it will be a non-issue, but he will get a call from Goddell! He will most likely be enrolled in the Slore training program and everything will be good for the rest of the year!
Andre Smith Injured
Why does a guy who always signs and gets to camp late get hurt? It seems like every year you have a guy who is a top ten pick who holds out forever then finally gets the big contract and then tries to overwork himself. This always results in him getting hurt!
“Andre Smith suffered a small fracture in his left foot during a non-contact drill,” Bengals coach Marvin Lewis said in a statement. “Our medical staff tells me the injury will not require surgery. It’s too soon to closely predict how long it will be before he can return to practice, but it looks like he’s going to miss a few weeks.”
What are the implications of this you ask? Well he was hoping to anchor the line that protects oft injured Carson Palmer! I would expect since Smith is a big guy that this will linger on for a while. The backup Collins is expected to step in and fill the hole. While he is a viable backup, he is no top ten pick! Carson should be devalued in any late fantasy drafts you are doing. I would expect most teams to only draft him as a backup but if your are using him as your starter then you better watch out!
As far as betting week one vs the Broncos its is still too hard to call. The Broncos QB Kyle Orton looks to be out as well as Chris Simms their backup. Look for more update on this as it looks to be a ugly game in Cincy!
Recapping Favre Performance
Brett Favre’s ribs appear to be just fine. He took plenty of hits and even delivered one.Adrian Peterson scored on the game’s first play, Favre played three quarters despite saying he might have an injured rib, and the Minnesota Vikings beat the Houston Texans 17-10 in a preseason game Monday night.
Favre was 13 of 18 for 142 yards. He didn’t move the offense much following Peterson’s touchdown until a 28-yard catch and run by Chester Taylor just before halftime.
So Favre may or may not be injured and apparently he has not worries about his body, which is evident throughout his career. Did he look good tonight? I give him a maybe he played decent. I would call it a Jake Delhome game not great but good enough to win.
On a fantasy football note I would look to this game as a preview of possible many games Favre is the in, AP is that good and will bust runs like this all the time. Virtually eliminating all of Favre’s stats. In most leagues he is considered a bye week guy but I would not trust him for that. I would say you will be lucky to get 180yds and 1TD with him in your bye week!
The Pump Fake Rating of Favre’s Performance!
6/10 Only because I did not think he would complete 10 passes and he fake a rib injury so you get a 6 SIR!
Favre Game number 2!
Brett Favre goes out for the second time as a Viking…what can we expect from the second game?
I would like to see at least two completed passes!
Throw the Ball deep once (we need to see something out of his arm!)
Earn the respect of his teammates, he can’t just complete two passes to do this he needs multiple completions and throw the ball deep to Berrian!
I will say after last weeks performance the bar is set low so doing anything will be better, the pressure is higher since the chatter in the locker room is getting bigger. Favre knows he needs a big game and we will see what he gets done!
Betting the Game
The Minnesota Vikings and the Houston Texans will both be gunning for a victory on Monday when they meet at Reliant Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Texans listed as 3-point favorites versus the Vikings, while the game’s total is sitting at 39.
Tarvaris Jackson threw two TD passes as the Vikings won their second straight preseason game last time out, defeating the Chiefs 17-13. The Vikings covered the 3-point spread, while the 30 points fell UNDER the posted total of 37.
The Texans were defeated 38-14 by the Saints last time out, as 3-point favorites. The game’s combined score sailed OVER the posted total of 39.
Weather looks good its on a grass field and looks to be 78 degrees with slight clouds no worries here!
I say take the Texans -3 at home Favre is old and still not ready to play. If they pull him out early then Jackson will look good again and may decide this game. Based on my belief Favre will stay in the whole first half I am going with the Texans -3.
Orton vs Cutler! Preview of Bears vs Broncos
We have arrived to the big anticipated game, although it is just a preseason game this game will have implications all over the place.
1: First we have Jay Culters return to Denver after blasting the team McDaniel and anyone else who was listening.
2: Kyle Orton vs the Bears his old team, many Fantasy Football pundits have predicted KO to have a really good year since he has all these weapons. I believe we will see the real Kyle Orton tonight and that Kyle plays Football on his Backside!
3: Bears receivers vs Broncos receivers: The Bears are undervalued at the WR position and all you Fantasy Football fans will want to see this as you have some new sleepers after this game. The Broncos have suspended Brandon Marshall so 2nd year guy Eddie Royal will be leading the charge. I like the Bears receivers to make a statement as Cutler finally gets on the same page with Hester and gets a deep ball to him.
Prediction of Game:
Bear’s Vs Bronco’s 8pm Eastern
Spread is +2 for the Bears and I like taking the points in this game. Cutler is used to playing in Denver and is still looking to make a statement! My final score prediction is Bears 28 – 12.
- Bears get two Turnovers off of Orton Fumbles and take one to the House!
- Cutler hits Olson, Forte and Hester for touchdowns!
- Lovie Smith is calling Defensive plays this year and the difference will really be apparent tonight. Previously Bob Babich called the plays and was more of a rad and react guy, Lovie goes by the Attack, Attack, Attack system. I predict a big game for the defense!
- Take the points tonight and win big +2 is bet!
- As far as game total I predicted a 28-12 Score which puts it barely at the over….play this at your own risk!
The weather in Denver is 61 degrees and Cloudy and its looking like some good football weather. Orton plays horrible with a wet ball and will be very erratic if it starts to rain so watch this closely if starts to rain.
Tom Brady Injured??
Tom Brady has been looking all world the last couple of Pre-Season games and looked to be moving up all the Fantasy draft boards. A hard hit from Albert Haynes worth usually would be enough to change everyone’s season. Everyone took a effervescent sigh of relief when Belichick said Brady is okay, but is he really. Belichick is the master of hiding injuries and he may be getting ready again here, this is enough of a sore shoulder for Brady to appear every week on the injury report. I am not ready to panic yet but I would take this as a sign not to put Brady to far up on the list I have seen some drafts with Brady in the top 5 and I say he is better suited at 15+ there are two many good running backs and the drop of in WR from the top tier to the second tier is huge. Don’t fall into the Brady trap take the injury as a sign and save Brady for the second round.
Thursday Night Games
I know everyone has been anticipating the long awaited debut of Michael Vick, well tonight we will see what kind of action he gets! Here is some thoughts I have on the games tonight:
Eagles vs the Jaguars 7:00 om eastern
McNabb will start the game and look good as he is relaxed and he plays his best when he has nothing to worry about. He is not worried about Vick he sees Vick as someone who is taking the pressure of him. He no longer has to worry about being the main man all the time. I predict Vick will come in on the third series once with McNabb in the game and the other two downs by himself. I think McNabb will play Wide receiver on the one play they are both out there, heck Vick might even throw him the ball just to give opposing teams video to watch that the Eagles are not afraid to try different plays. A lot of people are thinking Vick will get booed, I think there will be some boo birds but most of the city is behind him and he will get a good reception.
I don’t like betting on Preseason games but the line info is here I would take the points in the preseason as the Jags are coming along nice and this game will be close as Vick is nervous and will fumble the ball once leading to a Jaguar Score. The Vegas line is Philly by 7 or 7.5.
Rams Vs Bengals 7:30
With Carson Palmer not playing I would look for Cedric Benson to have a good game. He is a dark horse fantasy sleeper but the oft injured Palmer needs a strong running back and Benson should be solid behind the Bengals line. The Bengals Defense is really good and I will go out on a limb and say it is going to be a top ten defense. I think they will hurt the Rams early and get a big lead and the ground game will carry them.
The Vegas line is Bengals by 2.5 to three and I say this is the gimme of the day! Got to take the Bengals in this game the score will be 21-7 and that would be 24-0 if this was the regular season. The Bengals are starting to move forward and the Rams are still moving backwards.
Dolphins vs the Buccaneers 8:00 pm Eastern
We get a good preview of possible starters for the Bucs at the QB position, its a good battle between McCown and Leftwich. I don’t have a good feel for who should get this but I would like to see Leftwich take it he is a solid player and deserves to start for a team after all he has been through. The dolphins running game will be too much for the Bucs in this game even though their defense is good. I am looking forward to seeing some good wildcat sets in this one to see what Parcells has worked on .
The Vegas line is Tampa by 2 and I like the Dolphins in this one. They are better at running the ball and their Defense is strong enough to hold the game close. I don’t think the Bucs have enough firepower in their arsenal to get out to a early lead and take the Dolphins out of their run game. Take the Dolphins and the points.
Breakdown of the picks:
Jags +7.0
Bengals +2.5
Dolphins +2.0
No chalk today folks take the points and parlay yourself to victory….